Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.510315 0.562317 0.618263 0.683078 0.756288 0.836634 0.931773
2025-10-19 0.427978 0.500208 0.583680 0.687927 0.815538 0.967824 1.165052
2025-10-26 0.379811 0.461569 0.560685 0.690995 0.859745 1.073585 1.369417
2025-11-02 0.346843 0.434778 0.545552 0.697413 0.903455 1.178111 1.580295
2025-11-09 0.313041 0.402254 0.518161 0.682573 0.914404 1.236854 1.732515
2025-11-16 0.293079 0.385305 0.508605 0.689187 0.953301 1.335981 1.952828
2025-11-23 0.272420 0.365223 0.492386 0.683879 0.973103 1.407702 2.138972
2025-11-30 0.257494 0.351608 0.483598 0.687689 1.005616 1.500558 2.369396
2025-12-07 0.240653 0.333832 0.467155 0.678107 1.015757 1.558179 2.547337
2025-12-14 0.225958 0.318030 0.452229 0.669166 1.025354 1.614858 2.729929
2025-12-21 0.209132 0.297918 0.429340 0.645643 1.008525 1.624564 2.827204
2025-12-28 0.202816 0.293145 0.429366 0.658523 1.053252 1.744750 3.149094
2026-01-04 0.195910 0.287163 0.427286 0.668101 1.093841 1.863361 3.489683
2026-01-11 0.188379 0.279736 0.422396 0.672527 1.125725 1.969669 3.823235
2026-01-18 0.181199 0.272378 0.417032 0.675518 1.154973 2.073860 4.169324
2026-01-25 0.175231 0.266575 0.413764 0.681763 1.190620 2.194478 4.573033
2026-02-01 0.165883 0.254713 0.399600 0.667323 1.185135 2.230472 4.784903
2026-02-08 0.160968 0.249897 0.397046 0.673759 1.220940 2.356747 5.238854
2026-02-15 0.154417 0.241972 0.388632 0.668595 1.232854 2.432768 5.580033
2026-02-22 0.149780 0.237033 0.385097 0.672302 1.263125 2.552822 6.060410
2026-03-01 0.143395 0.228766 0.375188 0.662978 1.265129 2.608577 6.375857
2026-03-08 0.137518 0.221102 0.365940 0.654277 1.267625 2.665698 6.706844
2026-03-15 0.129918 0.210085 0.350062 0.631383 1.237236 2.640626 6.791396